Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.209913 0.223366 0.237478 0.253430 0.271011 0.289852 0.311648
2025-03-23 0.184842 0.205348 0.228297 0.256108 0.289207 0.327739 0.376587
2025-03-30 0.164307 0.188202 0.216222 0.252003 0.297229 0.353570 0.430880
2025-04-06 0.147442 0.172670 0.203286 0.243961 0.297849 0.368772 0.472843
2025-04-13 0.134368 0.160096 0.192172 0.236166 0.296755 0.380308 0.510393
2025-04-20 0.127524 0.154503 0.189040 0.237937 0.307998 0.409469 0.577986
2025-04-27 0.122644 0.150882 0.187923 0.241956 0.322385 0.444668 0.661714
2025-05-04 0.117329 0.146187 0.184821 0.242630 0.331572 0.472786 0.739357
2025-05-11 0.111884 0.140888 0.180390 0.240792 0.336432 0.494240 0.809512
2025-05-18 0.106822 0.135765 0.175783 0.238166 0.339542 0.512872 0.878402
2025-05-25 0.101494 0.129953 0.169780 0.232845 0.337546 0.521978 0.929528
2025-06-01 0.097133 0.125266 0.165106 0.229174 0.337830 0.535111 0.992833
2025-06-08 0.093043 0.120870 0.160753 0.225914 0.338901 0.550726 1.069027
2025-06-15 0.090976 0.119311 0.160568 0.229401 0.352367 0.593267 1.229103
2025-06-22 0.087431 0.115408 0.156587 0.226299 0.353475 0.610641 1.328995
2025-06-29 0.083288 0.110435 0.150694 0.219548 0.347039 0.610781 1.379059
2025-07-06 0.079462 0.105784 0.145080 0.212904 0.340181 0.609011 1.423401
2025-07-13 0.077747 0.104232 0.144243 0.214436 0.349380 0.645483 1.611660
2025-07-20 0.076557 0.103413 0.144507 0.217887 0.362770 0.694665 1.877078
2025-07-27 0.074840 0.101706 0.143236 0.218466 0.370288 0.730878 2.118843
2025-08-03 0.072798 0.099408 0.140883 0.216890 0.373054 0.755304 2.329011
2025-08-10 0.070744 0.097016 0.138263 0.214638 0.374110 0.775377 2.536452
2025-08-17 0.068365 0.094030 0.134531 0.210070 0.369600 0.779017 2.662753